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Ramu
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ramu
Post Number: 96
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 199.244.214.30
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 11:36 am: |    |
in gnt and kRshNa districts, where ever women turned for polling in large numbers, there were some kind of disturbances instigated which made them to leave the polling booths fearing their safety (this is what i heard). this might be a major negative for tdp in these two districts.
rAmu(Du) manci bAluDu  cinnappaTinuncI intE |
Bignole
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Bignole
Post Number: 137
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 68.106.124.70
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 11:25 am: | |
Ninna East G lo oka friend tho matlada
He says East lo 16 Gurantee anta TDP ki.
11 const more than 5000+ Majority anta
migathavatilo less than 5000 Majority anta.
By the ayana Congeeyavadi. Mana Jakkampudi vargam annamata.
West kooda TDP ki baaga vundanta. Ladies ee rendu jillallo kummaranta. Vallaki Pushkarala organization baaga naatuku poyindanta. He thinks Opinion polls lo silent voters(mahilalu and Youth) ni sarigga consider cheyaledantunnadu.
Cheyetthi Jai kottu Telugoda |
Tirupati
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Tirupati
Post Number: 468
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 143.225.152.126
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 11:24 am: | |
ursvenky brother,
meedi Chittoor districta??? |
Ursvenky
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ursvenky
Post Number: 41
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 67.92.14.35
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 11:17 am: | |
But one thing everybody should notice that ladies turn out is more than men in costal districts this is very big thing and we might see amazing results as Gaddam Babu told.
chala mandi 1000 lopu aadikyatha tho gattekke chances unnayi ani insider reports... |
Ursvenky
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ursvenky
Post Number: 40
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 67.92.14.35
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 11:14 am: | |
Emo Thodakottu naaku ayithe antha tension ga undi...ee saari edo rakam ga gattekkithe chaalu. kaani ekkada chusina negative reports vastunnayi. naaku eppudu Babu poll management meeda maathrame nammakam undi. mana gaddam babu magic work chesi unte manam sure ga malli power loki vasatm. |
Thodakottu
Vooriki Bewarse
Username: Thodakottu
Post Number: 1268
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 69.197.218.72
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 10:41 am: | |
mamam I agree with you abt thing that Ravi has given confidence and boost to the TDP cadre and at the same time I disagree with you Ravi has worked in 1999 in favour of TDP candidates other than these 3 candiadtes..
Ananthapur MP seat is not Ravi's greatness its happened because of Babu's caste equation. kaluva sreenivasulu is from Boya and they are in good number so it helped TDP alot.. usually boya people vote for congress in ananthapur district (boya and kurbha has got problems in the villages) because there is a boya candidate in hindupur (Gangadhar)..
so babu has given Ananthapur ticket to boya and hindupur ticket to Kurubha and it worked out very well..
but in this election because of Gadi Lingappa's death the boya community suspecting TDP leaders are behind his murder so they may not vote for TDP as they did in the last election..
But getting Hindupur seat is happened only because of paritala because in Penugonda TDP has got 59k majority so it helpped to get the Hindupur MP seat..
But I don't think it willbe worest for TDP.. even in worest case also TDP will get 50% seats in Ananthapur..
in Kurnool TDP will get 60% seats..
even in Cuddapah TDP will get 60%.
the only worrying factor for TDP is chittor.. TDP mayget only 3 to 4 seats there..
So according to me in rayalaseema (TDP)worest case it would be 50 50
Simhamalle nadichostha thodane kotti Manmadhunne dadipistha meesam thippi |
Krishna9
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Krishna9
Post Number: 19
Registered: 04-2004
Posted From: 207.17.47.140
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 10:25 am: | |
Hello Thodakottu babai,
Here I'm not debating whether TDP won because of Paritala or not. I'm just saying what ever I heard or what ever I read . I agree with you, in the below mentioned 3 constituencies, he himself made them lose in 1999since they're not his candidates and didn't try for their victory. He supported SuryapratapReddy in Dharmavaram and now he brought him to TDP. Coming to Payyavula Kesav (who was then the TeluguYuvatha president) and Prabhakar Chowdary, he deliberately didn't try for them and they lost it, since they're not loyal to him. This time he was successful in not getting the seat for Prabhakar Chowdary, how ever that misfired and Prabhakar is contesting as Independent. But in other constituencies (for his candidates),in 1999 he tried and made them won, even he was successful in getting both the MP seats to his loyalists and making them win. Not to forget, he was the one who gave life to TDP in that district. As you know during Congress Regime, Anatapur was the weakest area for TDP, in many areas, there is no cader for TDP, there are no candidates for TDP in many ZPTC and MPTC areas and the party is so afraid to even hoist a flag in many areas of that district which was largely dominated by the then Congress leaders. But once he entered the politics in 1994, it took a U turn and Congress came to the position of TDP. In many ZPTC, MPTC elections, there are no candidates for Congress. Even in muncipal elections, in some areas, no one contested from Congress and TDP candidates won unanimously, that is the power of him and he dominated that district than any one else in any district.This time, except one or two, he was successful in getting most of the tickets to his followers. But I doubt, whether TDP will win like 1994 and 1999 in Anantapur.
Now, coming back to Original topic, what do you feel about the analysis, that Cong will win in Rayalaseema.Do you agree to that? What are your thoughts on Coastal Andhra? |
Thodakottu
Vooriki Bewarse
Username: Thodakottu
Post Number: 1266
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 69.197.218.72
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 9:32 am: | |
babu mari ivee kitha kithalu ante..
1999 loo because of paritala TDP ki 3 seats bokka deeni meedha eenadu loo pedda news kuda vachindhi after 1999 elections..
Because of Ravi tDP lost 3 seats
Ananthapur--Prabhakar chowdhary--3k majority
Uravakonda--P Keshav--7k majority
Dharmavaram--Vijaya kumar--7k majority..
only 1994 loo RAVI TDP kosam work chesadu malli ippudu chesadu..
let us wait and see what will happen..
Simhamalle nadichostha thodane kotti Manmadhunne dadipistha meesam thippi |
Krishna9
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Krishna9
Post Number: 18
Registered: 04-2004
Posted From: 207.17.47.140
| | Posted on Wednesday, April 28, 2004 - 9:24 am: | |
Looks like TDP is going to get a big set back in Rayalaseema. Looks like only Kurnool district might be the saving grace for TDP. Even here, Cong will 100% win in kodumuru,panyam,kovelakuntla etc. Where as for TDP they're sure about Done, Allagadda etc. How ever, everyone are feeling that TDP might get more seats in Kurnool.
Coming to Anantapur, everyone are predicting that this time, Anantapur might switch it's loyalties to Congress. Though in 1994 and 1999, TDP swept mainly because of Paritala Ravi who was successfull in getting the majority of seats to his loyalists and making them win, looks like this time might not be able to do the same. Except Penugonda,Hindpur etc there is no 100% guaranteed seat for TDP.
Check the following links of eenadu regarding Chittor and Cuddapah.
http://www.eenadu.net/district/districtshow1.asp?d is=chittoor#8
http://www.eenadu.net/district/districtshow1.asp?d is=cuddapah#8
Please look at the following link of andhrajyothy.
http://www.andhrajyothy.com/districts/districtshow .asp?qry=ctr#2
In all these links, they indirectly say, the public voting in these districts is in favor of congress. Yesterday, Andhrajyothy gave an detailed analysis on various constituencies in chittor district and they wrote that Cong is going to win the majority seats.But, when clicked on archives, looks like that link is broken and isn't coming up today.But however, in the above link "Gelupu lekkala pi Babu Chiraku", ChandraBabu himself is saying that Cong will get majority seats in Chittor. Normally even though the candidate isn't sure of his victory, but will alway say that he/she is going to win, but if they themselves are saying this, then we can easily predict the results.For the past 2 days, when most of the surveys are saying that Voting is in favor of congress, I didn't believe since most of the surveys are done by national agencies and how will they perfectly understand the local politics.But today even our local news papers are saying indirectly that Cong is going to Win in the above places. That too, if the above news came in Vaartha, no one believes it since Vaartha is a staunch supporter of Cong, but this news came in Eenadu and Andhrajyothy which are in favor of TDP.
So, now the Key lies in Coastal and Uttarandhra.Normally these belts are strong for TDP. But, I don't know whether TDP will be able to be recreate the same magic. Please, share your thoughts. |
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