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Proofdada
Bewarse Legend
Username: Proofdada
Post Number: 136249
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 71.97.31.3
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 12:29 pm: |
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Clarity missing... Reposthay ga exit polls wait |
Nayak
Yavvanam Kaatesina Bewarse
Username: Nayak
Post Number: 5127
Registered: 04-2009
Posted From: 50.167.55.122
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 12:05 pm: |
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>>Kapu consolidation was solidly behind TDP-BJP (roughly 59%) which helped the alliance to a large extent
Sodarulu nijam ga TDP BJP ki solid ga vesi unte, sikkolu nundi, West varaku clean sweep avuthundhi.
Warrior
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Nitho
Mudiripoyina Bewarse
Username: Nitho
Post Number: 24931
Registered: 12-2004
Posted From: 73.178.217.91
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 11:11 am: |
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Naaistam:tdp vachesinatte no doubt...
annai nuvvu first okka daniki fix avvu..
Jai Rajanna, Jai Jai Jagan anna
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Naaistam
Censor Bewarse
Username: Naaistam
Post Number: 42890
Registered: 07-2005
Posted From: 182.74.163.242
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 9:34 am: |
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tdp vachesinatte no doubt...ee nbkfan edante daaniki reverse jaruguddi |
Telugustudio
Yavvanam Kaatesina Bewarse
Username: Telugustudio
Post Number: 9751
Registered: 07-2009
Posted From: 84.215.201.93
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 9:25 am: |
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Aaaa thokkale....16th varaku wait chesi appudu discuss cheddam.
www.watchtelugu.com
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Fakester
Censor Bewarse
Username: Fakester
Post Number: 3372
Registered: 07-2013
Posted From: 106.51.85.80
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 9:21 am: |
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16th varaku wait cheyyandi 
Vote TDP for better future.......
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Kiriti
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Kiriti
Post Number: 631
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 59.93.106.22
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 9:02 am: |
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Nbkfan:
Nbkfan:
Vadu emi rasado vadike understand aeyi vundadu.Neeku enthavaraku understand aeyindho naku big question mark.Eduku sodhara ituvanti threads veyyatamu. |
Bewarsegadu
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Bewarsegadu
Post Number: 1720
Registered: 03-2013
Posted From: 68.229.205.162
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 8:51 am: |
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Nbkfan
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Nbkfan
Post Number: 1254
Registered: 03-2006
Posted From: 223.237.13.57
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Sunday, May 11, 2014 - 8:16 am: |
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YSRCP to come to power...Assembly vote share 44%: TDP BJP 42% vote share...
Seemandhra
Seemandhra was a nightmare election to project on the 7th of May as it was a really neck-to-neck fight in a state that saw a huge turnout. One needs to be extremely cautious in reading the numbers from Seemandhra purely because of the turnout factor which may be indicating a sweep for one or the other party or combination while the actual data suggests a vertical split. In such a situation we are bravely projecting the Vote-Share numbers despite the caveat of the turnout as a factor. Some of the factors that played out in Seemandhra on 7th May that actually made this a cracker of a contest are themselves unique to 2014;
Division of the state was a major issue which overshadowed all other factors, so Modi as a factor was almost non-evident in the overall picture of this truncated state. In fact, Seemandhra was the one state apart from probably Kerala where Modi didn’t make much of a difference
The TDP-BJP alliance made a difference of possibly 4-5% swing in favour of the alliance although one cannot surely fathom whether it will help Naidu form a government here
Polarization in the last few days among Muslim voters towards Jagan Reddy’s party did help YSRCP to some extent to overcome the momentum of TDP-BJP alliance
Jagan managed to keep his vote-base of Reddys, lower classes and Muslims with no cross voting whatsoever in both LS as well as assembly polls unlike what we witnessed in Telangana. TDP-BJP did get an additional percent or two in the LS polls but it was more of “others” vote
There was no cross-voting from Christians (believed to be close to 20%) who stuck to YSRCP
Kapu consolidation was solidly behind TDP-BJP (roughly 59%) which helped the alliance to a large extent
Although YSRCP scored a better vote-share in assembly polls in overall terms, this was skewed by the party’s much better performance in Rayalaseema whereas TDP-BJP has probably done better in the other regions
Seat conversion from this kind of vote-share projection is another nightmare so we are not projecting for the assembly polls and are sticking to LS polls only. This looks like a very close race for Seemandhra assembly like the Chhattisgarh election of last December wherein we decided to only do a vote-share projection and not hazard a guess as to seat-share.
TIGER - SIMHA
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Archives - 2014