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Critic
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Critic
Post Number: 3372
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 75.6.213.30
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 7:00 pm: |
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Ram1:hmm kanisam eyana laaga kuda janam ki cheppleka poyaru tDP Leaders
Eyanala matladalante neethi mantulai undali kadha.
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Ram1
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ram1
Post Number: 299
Registered: 03-2019
Posted From: 77.234.46.220
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 2:31 pm: |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iY7zMcR-0tk
hmm kanisam eyana laaga kuda janam ki cheppleka poyaru tDP Leaders |
Ram1
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ram1
Post Number: 297
Registered: 03-2019
Posted From: 77.234.46.222
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:50 pm: |
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nOJC2AZl5yc |
Ram1
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ram1
Post Number: 296
Registered: 03-2019
Posted From: 77.234.46.222
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:49 pm: |
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http://www.bewarsetalk.net/discus/messages/5/67378.html?1559064785
Bhaga matladindhi |
Entrepreneur
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Entrepreneur
Post Number: 2643
Registered: 05-2011
Posted From: 59.88.241.98
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:39 pm: |
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Rratna:Rao garu mee math correct. Whenever majority kapu
vote goes To tdp they will be in power.
agree ratna garu
You have to learn all the big ideas in the key disciplines in a way that they're in a mental latticework
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Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68290
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:33 pm: |
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Rratna:
Ratna garu, Kapu votes split ayyayi, which is very clear and the reason for consistent results across the state.
I dont see any anti-incumbency nor Jagan wave. Its just who voted for whom anedi matter ayyindi..
Youth and Kapu votes titled towards Jagan and there was a sweep ante anukontanna,,
Jagan padayatra helped to retain his vote bank, ensured not going to TDP.. Social media helped youth votes to go to YSRCP..
Thats all it is..
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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Rratna
Mudiripoyina Bewarse
Username: Rratna
Post Number: 18167
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 73.144.171.224
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:26 pm: |
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Rao garu mee math correct. Whenever majority kapu
vote goes To tdp they will be in power.
Pk can't come to power ever alone. TDP can't come
to power without Kapu majority vote.
That's how it works. |
Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68288
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:25 pm: |
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Critic:Ippatiki ardham ayinda Babai. Good.
artham avvatam veru, wish veru kadaa, even though knowing this all along, we hope something different happens.
But people stuck to what they have decided.
Nothing helped TDP in anyway..
Now they will have 5 years to revamp their party and comeback..
I am seeing in social media, TDP supporters are taking this in right sense and trying to figure out and fix issues.
anyways, people are always right, we have to accept it anedi bottom line. Any political party have to satisfy them if they need power.
Given this age, the factors what they look at their leaders is changing, whether its good or bad, we are not the judges.
Hope for the best of the state thats all we can do
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68287
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:22 pm: |
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Goodman:1. T lo just 5/6 months lopale elections lo jjarigina mps lo Congress/BJP 4-4 seatu ravadam
MLA, MP elections are different ball game.
KCR knew this and made that move of pre-poning the assembly elections.
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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Critic
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Critic
Post Number: 3369
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 75.6.213.30
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:15 pm: |
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Musicfan:
Ippatiki ardham ayinda Babai. Good.
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Nalla_baalu
Censor Bewarse
Username: Nalla_baalu
Post Number: 126286
Registered: 06-2011
Posted From: 96.234.171.90
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:13 pm: |
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Goodman:ee lekkalu anni waste. something a big manipulation emo anipistundi. 2 reasons
1. T lo just 5/6 months lopale elections lo jjarigina mps lo Congress/BJP 4-4 seatu ravadam
2. Overall India lo 350 BJP ki ravatam
somewhere... something happend anipsitundi
Aug 11th 2011 weight -- 84 kg; Aug 11th 2012 weight -- 88 kg; Aug 11th 2013 weight -- 80 kg; July 2015 -- 90 kilos (5'10")
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Goodman
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Goodman
Post Number: 65
Registered: 02-2017
Posted From: 104.129.194.159
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 1:10 pm: |
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Musicfan:JDLN did help Jagan by telling the total money getting investigated is just 1500 crore.
Appati varaku TDP and others pracharam chesina lakh crores anta fake ani telipoyindi..
So appatike strong base unna Jagan fans danni janalloki baaga teeskellaru,, So all his cases were never a factor after that even for neutrals or congress voters
Inka 31 cases lo 20 is from TDP govt, so cases of Jagan got away from people. Inka wave started I guess.
ee lekkalu anni waste. something a big manipulation emo anipistundi. 2 reasons
1. T lo just 5/6 months lopale elections lo jjarigina mps lo Congress/BJP 4-4 seatu ravadam
2. Overall India lo 350 BJP ki ravatam
somewhere... something happend anipsitundi |
Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68286
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 12:35 pm: |
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Entrepreneur:
JDLN did help Jagan by telling the total money getting investigated is just 1500 crore.
Appati varaku TDP and others pracharam chesina lakh crores anta fake ani telipoyindi..
So appatike strong base unna Jagan fans danni janalloki baaga teeskellaru,, So all his cases were never a factor after that even for neutrals or congress voters
Inka 31 cases lo 20 is from TDP govt, so cases of Jagan got away from people. Inka wave started I guess.
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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Entrepreneur
Kurra Bewarse
Username: Entrepreneur
Post Number: 2642
Registered: 05-2011
Posted From: 59.88.241.98
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 12:28 pm: |
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Rao garu - same thing cheppi cheppi tired in my circle. I totally echo and resonate with you....good one
You have to learn all the big ideas in the key disciplines in a way that they're in a mental latticework
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Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68285
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 12:22 pm: |
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Ram1:
I dont think navaratnalu is a factor at all, knowing the status of the state, any freebie is not guaranteed ani telsu janalaki..
CBN ichinavanni, last year lone, that didnt help TDP..
More over few messages didnt go across very well in the people, CBN ante double Stance, Jagan ante single stance ani janalu strong gaa feel avutunnaru..
CBN insecured, Jagan is a fighter.. this is the main reason for youth to get attracted towards Jagan.
Cases are not real, they all are framed everyone is corrupt so is Jagan ani kooda strong gaa feel avutunnaru
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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Ram1
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ram1
Post Number: 293
Registered: 03-2019
Posted From: 77.234.46.220
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 12:11 pm: |
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Btw Good analysis ....Next time elantivi chala chusukovali , work cheyali...Hugs |
Ram1
Pilla Bewarse
Username: Ram1
Post Number: 292
Registered: 03-2019
Posted From: 77.234.46.220
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 12:10 pm: |
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Ante BJp vi YCP ki TDP vi JS ki vellinai antaaru ,,,
MAyundachu but anitikante mukyam ga Voting lo em matahlab lekunda 151 ante matram e analysis lanni ti kanna Janam ki kavalsindhi inkedho vundhi Rao gaaru maybe 9 Ratnalu ?or Madhyapana nishedham or Only A caste ani chesina negetive pracharam etc |
Nayak
Yavvanam Kaatesina Bewarse
Username: Nayak
Post Number: 7582
Registered: 04-2009
Posted From: 71.56.18.26
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 12:00 pm: |
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Very good analysis Rao garu...
Warrior
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Nayak
Yavvanam Kaatesina Bewarse
Username: Nayak
Post Number: 7581
Registered: 04-2009
Posted From: 71.56.18.26
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 11:59 am: |
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How can TDP come back to Power in 2024....simple ga cheppalante, Follow BJP foot steps and implement what ever they are doing nation wide in Andhra Pradesh. We have 3 categories of social...SC/ST, BC and Kaps. You need to win majority of BC and Kaps votes against SC/ST which goes towards Jagan. Ardham chesukondi...
Warrior
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Kingchoudary
Censor Bewarse
Username: Kingchoudary
Post Number: 101849
Registered: 03-2004
Posted From: 98.158.255.87
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 11:32 am: |
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Good analysis Rao goru.... |
Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68284
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 9:51 am: |
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Nayak:12
3.8% of votes
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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Nayak
Yavvanam Kaatesina Bewarse
Username: Nayak
Post Number: 7578
Registered: 04-2009
Posted From: 71.56.18.26
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 9:26 am: |
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15 lack new voters added this term. So most of these are young voters. Let’s think 80% voted 12 lack voted. How much percentage is this in overall polled voters?
Warrior
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Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68283
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 9:16 am: |
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PS: This is not copied message
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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Musicfan
Bewarse Legend
Username: Musicfan
Post Number: 68282
Registered: 05-2004
Posted From: 134.244.29.2
Rating: N/A
Votes: 0 (Vote!) | | Posted on Tuesday, May 28, 2019 - 9:15 am: |
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In 2014 AP, TDP+BJP got 46.79 % votes off which 44.61 was BJP and 2.18% was BJP. YSRCP got 44.58%.
With 8.63 % votes going to others ( congress + Independents )
So basically both TDP and YSRCP got almost same % of votes. BJP and Pawan made the difference that YSRCP lost the power.
In 2019,
YSRCP got polled 49.95% TDP 39.18 % JSP got 6.8%. BJP 0.84%.
With 3.23% votes going to others. ( congress + PSP+ Independents )
NOW COMING TO MATH:
Assuming, BJP votes have gone to YSRCP, Most share of votes that JSP got were from TDP. The number exactly match,
TDP, 44.61 - 1.34 ( BJP votes reduction) - 2.27 (2/3 of TDP votes going to JSP) = 39.214
YSRCP 44.58+1.34(votes of BJP) - 1.12 (1/3 of votes going to JSP ) + 5.4% (Growth in other votes ) = 50.198
So for the loss of TDP, the Split of JSP like what PRP did in 2009 and other % votes going to YSRCP made the sweep.
How the other votes 5.4% went to YSRCP is the key.
Mainly youth voters are part of the 5.4% and as I said long time ago, youth are between Jagan and PK, but they made no impact to Pawan, but they made huge impact to Jagan..
With these numbers even before going to elections, TDP has lost it. Jagan just with padayatra ensure his votebank is intact, social media lo youth ensured they got what they wanted.
Mr Majnu Audio Review
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